Why Obama is Right and the Right are Wrong.

22 06 2009

(Cross-posted to LiveJournal)

 

I’m not a fan of Barry O.

To clarify, I didn’t vote for him. Not only because I’m a big fan of John McCain, a great American patriot, war hero, and statesman – I still wouldn’t have voted for him if the Republicans had gone with Paul, or Giuliani, or Huckabee, or the Thompson Twins (either of them). If my state had open primaries, I would’ve even voted for Hillary as a protest vote against him. The only way I’d have ever put a check mark next to his box (in a totally hetero way) would be if the GOP had nominated Romney, or if Edwards ran as an independent and was polling above the Republican.

I disagree with nearly everything he stands for, and I don’t like him personally. He built himself up as a Messianic figure, fully equipped with a personality cult, and after a few months of scrutiny, it appears that the emperor has no clothes on. He’s a false prophet, and a mere mortal. He is flesh and blood like you and I, and he makes mistakes just the same.

However, his stance on Iran is not one of them.

In a country where the opposition shout Allahu Akbar! every night, it is clear that the people rioting in the streets aren’t doing it for us. Moreover, they’re not doing it because they’re opposed to Islam, or clerics in general. Mousavi is a cleric. Rafsanjani is a cleric. The only major figure in Iranian politics who does not come from a religious background is Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and they’re certainly not fond of him.

While the reformists in the opposition are certainly more pro-Western than the government, having the President of the United States throwing his support behind the opposition could push fence-sitters to the government’s side. While the college-educated women fighting for emancipation aren’t likely to shout Marg bar Amrika! any time soon, their aims will not be successful without more powerful figures joining their cause. And in order to be powerful in a dictatorship, you have to be a part of the establishment… an establishment that hates Israel more than anything, and by association the United States and the United Kingdom.

We were the ones who propped up the unpopular Shah as their monarch before the revolution. We had our chance to get involved. Our parents’ generation, in a moment of utter stupidity voted for Jimmy Carter and threw that useless fuckbucket into the White House. As a result, when the Shah was forced out of office, he never returned to power… and then when the Iranian revolutionaries held Americans hostage for over a year, we did nothing to stop them. It wasn’t until Ronald Reagan was elected that they backed off and let the Americans go.

Ronald Reagan was more forceful than Jimmy Carter, and certainly more forceful than Barack Obama is going to be. Force is what tyrants rule by, and force is what they understand. While it’s absolutely necessary for the Iranian people to know that the world stand in solidarity with them, the American government needs to remain as quiet and reserved as possible for the time being, because there is absolutely nothing they can do to weaken the Iranian regime short of an invasion. We can’t sever diplomatic ties. For starters, we haven’t had an embassy in Iran in decades. We are represented by the Swiss embassy. Secondly, President Obama ran on a campaign of promising to negotiate with the Iranian government. If he were to turn his back on that pledge, he would only do further damage to his reputation, as he’s already burned bridges with the Jewish and homosexual communities after going back on campaign promises.

So, the two men that I voted for President in 2004 and 2008, George W. Bush and John McCain have gone after President Obama and his reserved way of handling the situation,  and I find their remarks unfortunate. Congress voting on a measure to condemn the Iranian government isn’t going to help the men and women in the streets of Tehran. Iranians must do this for themselves. The only thing foreigners can do is what they are already doing: Helping combat the government’s attempts to block their internet access from Twitter, Facebook, and other sites that they are using for communication. As long as they are able to organize, I don’t see the government winning. These are people who are willing to die.

Even Mousavi, the establishment figure who led Iran as Prime Minister during the war against Saddam Hussein has said that he is willing to become a martyr. His fate, and the fate of his followers are in the hands of the Iranian Army and the Revolutionary Guard. So, while Mr. Mousavi may not have screamed Marg bar Amrika! as he stood atop a car last night, many of the people he is going to need to win over are still very anti-American and anti-Western. Once the Iranian revolt has an American flavor, all those who have died and will die will have done so in vain as the protests are condemned to fail.

We lost our bargaining chip in Iran in 1979. If we’re not able to accept that and watch from the sidelines, more people will lose their lives.

So at the risk of sounding like Alan Colmes, the left is right and the right is wrong.

 

…I think I need to take a shower now.





“Peace in the Middle East!”

11 05 2009

Was a popular way of saying goodbye to a friend when I was growing up in Brooklyn. I had a couple of Jewish friends, but by and large, we didn’t really know about the Israeli-Palestinian situation. To be honest, even if we had, I doubt any of us would’ve cared.

We’re privileged to live in a country where our neighbors can’t bother us. Not only are we protected by the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, but the Canadian economy also revolves around trade with the United States. Sure, we’ve gone to war with Mexico, but after getting your nose broken a few times, even the thought of a bloody nose turns you off. They don’t want war with us. Their strategy is to send their poorest citizens to America, have them work here, and send a large portion of the money they receive back home, thus helping to stimulate their local economy without Mexico having to worry about feeding and employing them.

The United States and Israel are like polar opposites in that regard. While we were able to be isolationist for a long period of time, Israel doesn’t even have the luxury of being able to stop and catch their breath.

Israel was created in the late 1940s, largely due to the Holocaust in Europe and feelings of guilt on the part of the British and American governments. If you happen to believe in an organized, monotheistic religion, all three Abrahamic faiths believe that it was granted to them by God after they were able to escape the chains of bondage as Egyptian slaves. Since their return to the Levant, the Jews have not only been surrounded by enemies on all sides, but within as well. Twenty percent of Israeli citizens are ethnic Arabs. Mind you, those are Israelis, not even Palestinians. Ninety percent of those Arabs are Muslims, while the remaining ten percent are Christians. Imagine if one-fifth of your neighbors were people that could wake up one morning and decide to blow up a school bus or a wedding ceremony. Granted, any nut here could wind up being another Timothy McVeigh, but the odds of that are significantly lower. That’s also not to say all Arab Israelis are radicals. Far from it, actually. I’m just attempting to shed some light as to the Israeli mindset. Not only do you lose your grandparents to Hitler or Stalin, but then you have to fight to keep the same from happening to your children.

There are over three hundred million Arab Muslims living in the Middle East, as opposed to six million Jews. To say the odds are stacked against them is hardly an understatement. From day one, Israel has had to fight with their neighbors in order to survive. In 1948, tiny Israel was attacked by Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria, and Yemen, among others in the Arab-Israeli War. In 1967, Israel was again attacked by Egypt, Iraq, Syria, and Jordan in the Six-Day War.

In Munich at the 1972 Summer Olympics, the Israeli Olympic Team were murdered by Palestinian terrorists.

They have to live in fear for their lives every day. They have to draft every young adult citizen – both male and female – into their military in order to protect their families.

So when the so-called moderate King of Jordan gave an interview that was published today, he stated that if President Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu are unable to come up with a deal that Arabs are willing to accept, it will show that the Obama Administration is “just another American government that is going to let [them] down”. He compared Israel to North Korea, and said that if they don’t make concessions soon, “We’re going to have a war.” So, rather than taking any of the blame for the issue, he says that if peace isn’t achieved in the near future, it’s going to be President Obama’s fault — America’s fault.

Now, I find it sadly ironic that the so-called progressive, pro-Western, free-thinking King Abdullah II of Jordan is calling for the Israeli government to offer even more land back to the Arabs when he himself has no business being in Jordan.

Abdullah is a Hashemite. That is to say, a member of the Hashemite Dynasty from what is now Saudi Arabia. In 1916, one of his Saudi Arabian ancestors led a revolt against the Turks whom had occupied most of the Arab World for several centuries, and as a result the Hashemite clan became kings of modern Jordan, Israel, Palestine, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. In the decades that followed, his family managed to lose all of those kingdoms, with the exception of Jordan.

He has no right to lecture the Jews on returning lands to their supposedly rightful, pre-war owners until he himself stops collecting taxes from the indigenous people of Jordan. He wasn’t elected by the people. He is not native to Jordan. His namesake, Abdullah I, who came from Mecca, conquered Jordan in 1921.

I’d like to see a peaceful co-existence in the Middle East, just as I’d like to see a resolution to the Korean situation and, eventually, Irish reunification. That said, it’s wholly unrealistic to ask Israel to respect the wishes of “57 countries” that, as King Abdullah mentioned, refuse to recognize Israel, many of which fund terrorism and would like nothing more than to see the Israeli people forcably removed from their homes.

Sadly, it seems as though the pro-Western voices in today’s Muslim world don’t sound all that differently from the reactionaries in Iran.

In 2000, Israel offered 100% of the Gaza Strip and over 90% of the West Bank at the Camp David Summit with President Clinton and Yasser Arafat. Arafat refused the deal. It’s all-or-nothing for their side.

When Abdullah says they’ll attack Israel if they don’t make more concessions, it sounds eerily similar to when Ahmadinejad said that the occupiers of Jerusalem will vanish from the pages of time.

Now, I don’t claim to have the solution to the problem. I have no answers to contribute, only more questions. But at least if they were asking questions rather than making unrealistic demands of one-another, there could be more dialogue and more mutual understanding and less unnecessary bloodshed on both sides.